NATO sponsored plan for this war was something other than ukro one.
Those things started to clear out after Russkie took Mariopol.
Offensive operation against the republics was already brewing, and considering how things were carried later - I dare to claim they would have succeeded.
It was to be a brutal, human wave flood to overrun the republican defensive positions and push forward to Doneck itself.
DNR lacked any sort of defensive depth, the frontline was just at the suburbs of the city.
The city was not fortified, for 8 years they had not pushed that limit and all the defensive positions were outside the city.
Clashed with freshly trained and highly saturated with the newest NATO stuff ukrs, both republics would have felt, outgunned and overrun with numbers.
Russia would have two choices: either to step down and watch the slaughter of Russians, or face the war anyway but on different rules given by the advancing ukrowehrmacht.
On the other hand, NATO considered that when provoked - Russia would finally intervene, and curved the battle strategy into it.
They knew perfectly well, that ukrs won't stand the Russians - there was no way of doing that.
But they could inflict hell of a damage and human losses.
Combined with economic pressure, they considered that strong enough to undermine Putin regime and make a hell of internal turmoil inside Russia.
What they considered that Russia would do, was push forward for territory with a well-known Soviet tactics of bypassing and cutting off cities they wanted to take in good shape. They have done that all of WW2, sometimes accepting high casualty rates.
They invested heavily in multiple strongholds based on urban structures, mines, cities.
Hid safely among the civilian population in cut-off cities, NATO supplied longer-range artillery aimed by the NATO recon would have been used to inflict maximum damage against Russian logistics and rear.
Ukrowehrmacht was unusually heavy in units created for sabotage. They have been trained for the purpose for years, by all of NATO, in the NATO special forces facilities.
It was their plan - to bleed Russkie white, fighting their hands with civilian hostages kept in cities. Those civilians were Russkie subhuman, anyway.
What they did not expect to happen, was the general effectiveness of the Russian army, which reached the Boh River in 3 weeks. Ukrowehrmacht collapsed, and they needed a breath as soon as April 2022.
This is why all the western diplomacy was involved in deluding Putin with Istambul peace negotiations.
It was a carrot while withdrawing the troops as a "goodwill gesture" was a goal.
And Putin has swallowed the bait. We won't know the real reasons behind it - my personal opinion is that he did that on a humanitarian base.
This has been used by the propaganda as a major victory, with all the consequences.
First, it pushed tens of thousands of volunteers into the ukrowehrmacht ranks. "We are winning!"...
Those have been used as flesh & blood to build another ukrowehrmacht army.
Second, it made the Europeans - mostly Poland - open their own warehouses wide.
This is when the Russians were forced to defend, as they lacked the numbers needed to push forward again.
To avoid losses, they made a thought decision to withdraw from all the territories that were hard to defend.
And this time, it was the ukrs who took the bait ... And paid badly the price of it.
Now it is the time to finish them off.
Those things started to clear out after Russkie took Mariopol.
Offensive operation against the republics was already brewing, and considering how things were carried later - I dare to claim they would have succeeded.
It was to be a brutal, human wave flood to overrun the republican defensive positions and push forward to Doneck itself.
DNR lacked any sort of defensive depth, the frontline was just at the suburbs of the city.
The city was not fortified, for 8 years they had not pushed that limit and all the defensive positions were outside the city.
Clashed with freshly trained and highly saturated with the newest NATO stuff ukrs, both republics would have felt, outgunned and overrun with numbers.
Russia would have two choices: either to step down and watch the slaughter of Russians, or face the war anyway but on different rules given by the advancing ukrowehrmacht.
On the other hand, NATO considered that when provoked - Russia would finally intervene, and curved the battle strategy into it.
They knew perfectly well, that ukrs won't stand the Russians - there was no way of doing that.
But they could inflict hell of a damage and human losses.
Combined with economic pressure, they considered that strong enough to undermine Putin regime and make a hell of internal turmoil inside Russia.
What they considered that Russia would do, was push forward for territory with a well-known Soviet tactics of bypassing and cutting off cities they wanted to take in good shape. They have done that all of WW2, sometimes accepting high casualty rates.
They invested heavily in multiple strongholds based on urban structures, mines, cities.
Hid safely among the civilian population in cut-off cities, NATO supplied longer-range artillery aimed by the NATO recon would have been used to inflict maximum damage against Russian logistics and rear.
Ukrowehrmacht was unusually heavy in units created for sabotage. They have been trained for the purpose for years, by all of NATO, in the NATO special forces facilities.
It was their plan - to bleed Russkie white, fighting their hands with civilian hostages kept in cities. Those civilians were Russkie subhuman, anyway.
What they did not expect to happen, was the general effectiveness of the Russian army, which reached the Boh River in 3 weeks. Ukrowehrmacht collapsed, and they needed a breath as soon as April 2022.
This is why all the western diplomacy was involved in deluding Putin with Istambul peace negotiations.
It was a carrot while withdrawing the troops as a "goodwill gesture" was a goal.
And Putin has swallowed the bait. We won't know the real reasons behind it - my personal opinion is that he did that on a humanitarian base.
This has been used by the propaganda as a major victory, with all the consequences.
First, it pushed tens of thousands of volunteers into the ukrowehrmacht ranks. "We are winning!"...
Those have been used as flesh & blood to build another ukrowehrmacht army.
Second, it made the Europeans - mostly Poland - open their own warehouses wide.
This is when the Russians were forced to defend, as they lacked the numbers needed to push forward again.
To avoid losses, they made a thought decision to withdraw from all the territories that were hard to defend.
And this time, it was the ukrs who took the bait ... And paid badly the price of it.
Now it is the time to finish them off.