His guesstimates make sense. To counter the USN & RN, at least 2 CVs will be needed while they deal with Taiwan &/ Vietnam, not to mention Japan.
They'll also have Kinzhal-like Ms on their H-6Ns & perhaps J-20s.
For now, China is content to project power into its nautical backyard and over adjacent areas that it considers crucial, such as the South China Sea, Taiwan and Japan. In turn, that requires an ability to neutralize U.S. forces and bases capable of interfering with, say, an invasion of Taiwan. Hence, Beijing’s new interest in long-range weapons, such as ballistic missiles and missile-armed bombers.
..the long range of the Chinese ALBM could permit new options against U.S. military installations on Guam, in Japan, and for mobile targets like carrier strike groups from launch points over the Chinese littoral, or within the first island chain, where the bombers can be better protected by land-based air defense systems and tactical aircraft. https://fas.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/11/FAS-ALBM.pdf
Last edited by Tsavo Lion on Mon May 11, 2020 7:08 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : add link)