It will not be Ukrainian for long. As far as the factories they will not be called Antonov anyway. In the Soviet (and now, at least since the proper reorganization under UAC) the design bureau do not own the production and assembly plants. They work closely together (and often a design bureau has its favourite plants), but they are separate entities within the UAC umbrella.
The design bureau that was Antonov have been acting like a bunch of
for decades and have done everything they could to squeeze money out of Russia for this or that project, never giving them any intellectual property rights and screwing them over in regards to support and upgrades for aircraft and engines...
It is a tiny shell of what it was and is not worth reviving in any shape or form.
UAC would be better to just expand Tupolev and Ilyusion and Myasishchev to add transports and civilian planes and the problem is solved.
Trying to set up a department in UAC made up of Ukrainians from Antonov is just setting up a 5th column inside an important organisation and it creates huge problems.
First of all you wont get anyone with any experience of actually making anything good because they already left for jobs at Boeing and UAC... the administration were shit and have been trying to peddle snake oil these last 20 odd years... mostly to Russia their main customer which they screwed over time and time again.
The Engineers will be long gone and again none with real experience working on anything useful is left... their factories will be gone and their equipment stolen or sold...
They would be better off focussing on the three Soviet aircraft makers with experience in large aircraft left... even Yak and MiG and Sukhoi could have a go in some weight ranges for aircraft designs.
For every Antonov design that got into service there were competing types from at least two other design teams most of the time, and Antonovs political power often meant their designs made it when other types potentially had more promise or perhaps more risk.
Russia has plenty of design and production depth to solve their own problems and in solving their own problems they are creating products the rest of the world is waiting for solutions for too... don't think the An-26s and An-2s and other types around the world are all brand new fresh from the manufacturer... they need replacements too and western replacements are expensive and often politically not an option.
Former occupied colonial countries spent blood and sweat and resources to get rid of their occupier... the last thing they want to do is create new strings the west can pull leading to France or the US... especially paying top dollar for those strings themselves.
China has alternatives, and Brazil might too, but Russian alternatives give them choice... and potential for local production contracts perhaps.
I am sure South Africa might be interested in building a factory to make Il-476s if it can also make Il-276s too... getting a factory that can make an Il-76 and an An-12 with standardised size and engines and avionics would be useful throughout Africa and the world... and other customers in Africa might want to buy from them too.
As far as Antonov design bureau... It is one of Gorbachev and Eltsin huge mistakes... anyway it is Antonov design bureau, not "Shevchenko" design bureau.. it deserves to come back home.
It deserves to be buried and allowed some rest... forget the cockeyed new shit, and just remember the greats.... the An-22, the An-124, and of course the An-2 and An-12, and quite a few other types.
Russia has set the goal of replacing all Soviet era equipment with new generation stuff... first maximal upgrades that fixed most problems, but in the background develop new generation replacements that solves all the fundamental problems from experience in use of the existing types.
The upgrades can be based on new stuff being developed for the new generation stuff, but it is all about applying new technologies to the next gen stuff, and putting it on existing types to get it into service and widespread use to get experience and mass production going so production can be mastered quicker and problems and faults found and eliminated in the field as quickly as possible so when the new gen stuff enters serial production it can be more mature and reliable and also delay the introduction of the next gen stuff by increasing the quality of what is in service right now, and giving the military a taste of what is to come with the new stuff so it is not a huge jump in learning or use.
There is already enough talent and competition in the UAC and the existing designers and engineers can be added to as needed depending on what they are working on.
It is not like they have one job and they allocate one design bureau to do that job... they normally announce a programme and normally the different design bureaus allocate designers and engineers and resources to that job... sometimes they go all out, and other times they think outside the box... the competition for a new CAS aircraft looked like a mix of conservative (the MiG entry appears to be a MiG-21 variant, while the Yak model appears similar to the Yak-25 in layout... only the Il and Su models looked different and were not supersonic types... which was revolutionary thinking at the time, but also practical and sensible.) and edge of envelope.
Normal competition should continue but now there wont be an entry from Antonov... but that has been more their fault than Russias fault... they overestimated their own importance and forgot the basic idea of business... alienate your main customer and times will be tough till you can find new customers... Antonov expected that when they rejected Russia, their main paying customer, that the market of the west and former eastern block that had just jumped ship to the west would easily make up for lost Russian sales... but Eastern Europe didn't want Soviet crap... the west wanted them to buy their shit, and of course they wanted Kiev to buy western stuff too.
The last few years the western MIC has been complaining about all the soviet crap their new allies are using when they could be paying 10 to 100 times more and use western stuff instead... that often might not even be as good.
Well Antonov was unrepentent so why should Russia revive them.... they are dead... let it go.
Plus with them dead Russia is free to do with its various Antonovs it still has as it pleases including upgrades and modifications if that allows them to serve out their remaining time better.
Any attempt to incorporate Antonov into UAC will just be an economic and political nightmare any group of Orcs around the world could use to claim ownership of Russian military aircraft landing anywhere outside Russia, which is going to kill export orders too.
Better to cut off the limb with gangrene... cauterise the wound and start using your many other legs instead who could of course take up the slack eventually with a fraction of the investment and time it would take to fix Antonov...
Build factories to make planes in the new regions... but don't call them Antonov.
Probably to be one hundred per cent sure the full transfer of Antonov properties and IP should be put in the war reparation list after Kiev will have finally surrender.
All their tools and equipment will be burned or sold and all the people will be gone.
All these companies are just going to be empty buildings if they are lucky... but more likely torched.
This territory is going to be Russian territory so of course build factories and reopen mines and clear farmland of UXO, but reviving Motor Sich or Antonov or anything else is a waste of money and time.
Antonov will be a part of UAC as it is Ilyushin, Yakovlev or Tupulev.
We don't even know if Antonov is even an operating entity any more, and the OAK already has plenty of design and manufacturing capacity... just from Wiki they have:
Branch: Regional Aircraft-Branch of the Irkut Corporation (before:Sukhoi Civil Aircraft)
Branch: Irkutsk Aviation Plant
Branch: Yakovlev Design Bureau
Branch: Sokol Plant
Civil Aircraft (now acquired by Irkut Corporation)
Branch: Komsomolsk-on-Amur Aircraft Production Association
Branch: Novosibirsk Aircraft Production Association
Branch: Kazan Aircraft Production Association
Voronezh Aircraft Production Association.
Which sounds like plenty to me... rather than adding a new branch they could just expand a few existing parts of their structure that were already taking on the work to replace Antonovs already.
Back to the 5 tons payload aircraft. If the increased width of the cargo area is not absolutely needed, this segment is already covered by the cargo version of the TVRS-44 Ladoga. I feel the il-112v just became redundant (at least with current specs.
Have you even looked at the types you are talking about? A cargo version of a Let-410 is going to need a serious redesign if you want to have a rear ramp for vehicles and pallets...
The Il-112 can easily be fitted with seats to carry people, but the Let is not readily able to have a rear ramp door for vehicles and pallets for cargo.
Just because it was made with export requirements in mind didn't make it purely for export. As the bulk still ended up being produced for Soviet Union. As far as An-32 being produced in parallel with An-26 for 3 years is a nothing burger as well. One production line was mature and the other wasn't. Simple as that.
The An-32 was a specialised hot and high version of the An-24/25/26, and was custom designed for India or use in Afghanistan where the existing Antonovs didn't work so well in hot and high conditions that seriously reduced their engine performance.
But it's also obvious that An-26 didn't cut it. Hence the An-72 (especially An-74's ) is closer inline with An-8 in terms of payload capability, range and cargo hold dimensions rather then to An-26.
Being a jet it is not so easily maintained in the middle of nowhere, though it is faster.
After proving itself it was a good jet, but I rather suspect an Il-276 or the Il-214... both twin jets and both put forward as replacements for the An-12 would make the An-74 or An-74 a bit redundant and at the same time replace the An-12.