and they are going to produce over 2000 Armatas/T-14/whatever by 2020.
Keep in mind that the armata is not just a heavy tank, it is also an APC and command vehicle etc etc...
In a brigade structure of the hundreds of vehicles only about 30 vehicles will be MBTs and the rest will have other purposes. this means that of 2000 armatas made by 2020 perhaps 200-300 might be MBT versions.
That would be close to 4000, and they probably continue building Armatas after 2020, right? In any case, impressive numbers.
They will certainly need to continue production after 2020.
Plans are for 70% new equipment by 2020, though the current financial situation might stretch that, the goals wont be shifted too much.
They are going to continue with the T-72B3(?) modernization, but supposedly this upcoming year it will be the "Biathlon" model with the panoramic sight, new engine, transmission etc. I am mixed on this- the upgrade is fairly thorough but one wonders how expensive it is. Also they are paying for tanks that have essentially no improvement on protection from T-72s made in 1989...25 years ago.
The important thing is that new crews get new comms and battle management systems and night optics so even if it doesn't have the same level of protection as the armata it can at least train in many of the same tactics and situations as a new tank.
these upgrades might include new parts that are not cheap now, but production and use will allow commanders to get experience with things like pano sights and more reliable transmissions.
the new comms should allow better communication and coordination and the use of things like UAVs etc.
Armata's more mature than the GCV, but these kind of modular fighting machines have complex development processes especially when implemented on such a large scale. There's going to be speedbumps along its path to procurement.
The way they have developed these new vehicles and vehicle families suggests a real step forward in modular systems with different weight class vehicles using the ground equivalent of avionics... avionics are aviation electronics... sensors, computer networks and systems all integrated and linked together. the Ratnik program took all the aspects of a soldiers equipment and instead of each component being developed independently and separately it put them all together... these new vehicle families will be the same with optimised equipment and systems developed for MBTs and IFVs and command vehicles and then adapted to each weight class.
UVZ has enormous production potential and could certainly build 2000 armata vehicles by 2020... that would only be about 500 a year with production starting in 2016.