Turkey may also get help from the UK- they work on the 5th gen fighter now .
So how big will that market be... the UK and the Ukrainian air forces... they have started work on a 5th gen fighter now... in 10 years they might have something, but what will it be up against?
Who else will want it?
When was the last time Antonov made a fighter aircraft.... when was the last time the UK made a fighter on its own?
When the EU shift their economic business out of London then the UK is going to be in a terrible situation.... a terrible situation that might make the Scots declare independence and perhaps even the Welsh to join them....
The irony is that the English voted to leave the EU because essentially they were being told what to do by people they can't elect or remove... and the people of Scotland like the EU but don't like London for the same reasons England doesn't like Brussels.
Their real problem was they didn't actually have a good discussion about what they actually wanted and I think a lot of people there probably would have been happy to stay but to try to get some reform as to how the EU works.... perhaps make it an economic thing only and not so political and invasive and (ironically) so undemocratic...
The Antonov plant will still be fixing & modifying planes, even if it doesn't build new 1s- I doubt they'll close it down completely any time soon.
If it keeps screwing its customers then it wont have much future at all... I suspect if the Chinese get their money back they might already be going tits up because the Ukrainian government can't afford to save them...
Even if they keep making spares for existing Antonov types... half their market was Russia... sorry... half their paying market was Russia, which has been cut off... they are sorting out their own sources for parts and also replacement aircraft types.
Pretty soon they will start mass production of these replacement aircraft and to start selling them abroad to current operators of those very same obsolete aircraft.
Certainly China has made their own replacements and they will be exporting as well.
In such a situation what chance does Antonov really have?
Their main problem is that their name means something in Russia and Russia dominated markets... burning their bridges with Russia has meant Russia is substituting and replacing and the material they are replacing it with is better and newer... how can the Antonov compete.
Antonov could be saved but it would require dropping all sanctions against Russia and allowing all trade to open up... which is not going to happen and even if it did Russia has already committed big money and resources into replacements which will be ready very soon....
In other words it is not going to happen... however much the UK or Turkey help.