flamming_python wrote:nemrod wrote:Cucumber Khan wrote:
Let's be honest here: Not a single Su-35 deal have been signed yet. Not one. It's pretty premature to speak about the Su-35 as some kind of export success.
There are at least two countries, if not more that wanted SU-35 but Russia abstained to buy them, because of friendly west pressure.
Iran need at least 200 SU-35, and wish to buy them. Syria wants SU-35 too. Vietnam, Malaysia, Venezuela, North Korea not only want, but wish this fighter too. I suspect Pakistan is interesting too, but Russia fears pressure from India, as Russia underwent pressures from China concerning Vietnam. The next great market must be Iran. With 200 SU-35, and 200 Mig-35 Iran could stop any western aggression. The weapon biz is at first politics.
Pakistan is out due to Indian concerns, as mentioned.
I'd imagine S. Korea would be pretty upset if Russia sold the Su-35 to the Norks, so that's out too.
Syria is in no position to buy the Su-35
Iran might, but then it might not, they seem to be set on self-reliance. If they buy anything then I suspect they'll rather go for a new interceptor aircraft such as the Su-30MK or maybe MiG-31BMs. The bells and whistles offered by the Su-35 are probably superflous to iranian requirements.
Malaysia and Venezuela are probably decent bets, why not. Add Indonesia too.
Haven't heard anything about Vietnamese interest, but even if China pressured Russia over it (and Russia has been selling to Vietnam so far with no problem); then that's OK if it means that the Chinese themselves buy the Su-35, they've already expressed interest in it as a matter of fact.
So Venezuela, Malaysia, China and Indonesia being front-runners. Possible interest from Vietnam. Maybe the Norks too, if S. Korea bows to US pressure to stop pursuing closer ties with Russia.
Overall it's not bad catch.
Iran is a Front runner too, since they need a new fighter ASAP. Furthermore if the money is unfrozen as due, well Iran might find the means to invest a couple billions in at least two squadrons of the 35. Just to make those Strikes in Yem...Iraq more safely.