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    Russian Economy General News: #10

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    GunshipDemocracy
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    Russian Economy General News: #10

    Post  GunshipDemocracy on Sat Jan 12, 2019 2:43 am

    par far wrote:No please don't do that, get Russia's birth rate up.

    unless Russia jump starts fertility rate to Niger/Mali level 6-7 children per woman then  I'm  afraid immigration is inevitable


    Hole wrote:Well, after the next crash there is a slight (read: big!) possibility that Trumpistan will fall out of the top 10 GDP countries rather quick.

    unfortunately, not in our lifetime



    So where are those experts claiming that barrel will drop to $20-30?! and  yes for 100rubles?


    The price of Brent crude oil rose above $ 62 per barrel

    https://ria.ru/20190111/1549219675.html
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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #10

    Post  GunshipDemocracy on Sat Jan 12, 2019 3:10 am

    Kimppis wrote:So India overtaking the US by 2040-50 is certainly plausible, even likely and inevitable, but I do think their overall human capital is limited (wrongthink here, let's not go there any more than that) so that the economy will slow down after reaching maybe Brazil's level of per capita GDP (relative to the US level at that time).


    would you suggest that human US capital is unlimited? it is 4 times can drop to 5 times smaller. if India slows down US slows done 3x. Ratio wont change any time soon.



    Kimppis wrote: So overall I think the earlier long-term forecasts are still more accurate, the ones from maybe 5-10 years ago. Which incidentally are more optimistic about Russia, and even China as well.  

    I agree that "crystal ball " readings are bit better than horoscopes in daily newspaper if economy is run by math formulas and not by investors who...Are reading those horoscopes too... lol1 lol1 lol1
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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #10

    Post  Hole on Sat Jan 12, 2019 11:06 am

    The real economy of Trumpland is around 5 - 6 Trill. All the rest is debt and financial voodoo. If the big bubble bursts the only way forward for them is to acknowledge the facts and start from there.
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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #10

    Post  miketheterrible on Sat Jan 12, 2019 2:03 pm

    Hole wrote:The real economy of Trumpland is around 5 - 6 Trill. All the rest is debt and financial voodoo. If the big bubble bursts the only way forward for them is to acknowledge the facts and start from there.

    Well, Reagans economic policies which are vehemently followed today in US was called voodoo economics. And good reason too.
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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #10

    Post  Hole on Sat Jan 12, 2019 4:46 pm

    Worked great for the upper 0,001%.
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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #10

    Post  Austin on Sun Jan 13, 2019 11:39 am

    Rosatom prepares new national project to develop nuclear technologies

    More:
    http://tass.com/economy/1039637
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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #10

    Post  Austin on Mon Jan 14, 2019 5:20 am

    Gundlach Warns U.S. Economy Is Floating on ‘an Ocean of Debt’

    (Bloomberg) -- Jeffrey Gundlach said yet again that the U.S. economy is gorging on debt.

    Echoing many of the themes from his annual "Just Markets" webcast on Tuesday, Gundlach took part in a round-table of 10 of Wall Street’s smartest investors for Barron’s. He highlighted the dangers especially posed by the U.S. corporate bond market.

    Prolific sales of junk bonds and significant growth in investment grade corporate debt, coupled with the Federal Reserve weaning the market off quantitative easing, have resulted in what the DoubleLine Capital LP boss called “an ocean of debt.”

    The investment manager countered President Donald Trump’s claim that he’s presiding over the strongest economy ever. The growth is debt-based, he said.


    Gundlach’s forecast for real GDP expansion this year is just 0.5 percent. Citing numbers spinning out of the USDebtClock.org website, he pointed out that the U.S.’s unfunded liabilities are $122 trillion -- or six times GDP.

    “I’m not looking for a terrible economy, but an artificially strong one, due to stimulus spending,” Gundlach told the panel. “We have floated incremental debt when we should be doing the opposite if the economy is so strong.”


    Stock Bear


    Gundlach is coming off another year in which his Total Return Bond Fund outperformed its fixed-income peers. It returned 1.8 percent in 2018, the best performance among the 10 largest actively managed U.S. bond funds, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

    Gundlach expects further declines in the U.S. stock market, which recently have steadied after reeling for most of December since the Great Depression. Equities will be weak early in the year and strengthen later in 2019, effectively a reversal of what happened last year, he said.

    “So now we are in a bear market, which isn’t defined by me as stocks being down 20 percent. A bear market is determined by the way stocks are acting,” he said.

    Rupal Bhansali, chief investment officer of International & Global Equities at Ariel Investments, picked up on Gundlach’s debt theme in the Barron’s cover story. Citing General Electric’s woes, she urged investors to focus more on balance-sheet risk rather than whether a company could beat or miss earnings. Companies with net cash are worth looking at, she said.

    Despite the surge in outstanding debt last year, markets aren’t signaling any particular concern over the U.S. government’s creditworthiness. The yield on benchmark 10-year Treasuries dropped to 2.70 percent on Friday from a 2018 high of about 3.26 percent in October.
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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #10

    Post  Austin on Mon Jan 14, 2019 6:09 am

    Working class: labor productivity will accelerate GDP by 2021

    https://iz.ru/827719/dmitrii-grinkevich/rabochii-klass-proizvoditelnost-truda-uskorit-vvp-k-2021-godu
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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #10

    Post  dino00 on Tue Jan 15, 2019 8:37 pm

    Russia's international reserves for 2018 increased by 8.3%

    As of January 1, they amounted to almost $ 468.5 billion

    MOSCOW, January 15. / TASS /. According to the results of 2018, the international reserves of the Russian Federation grew by 8.3% and as of January 1, 2019 amounted to almost $ 468.5 billion, the Bank of Russia said.

    As of January 1, 2018, Russia's international reserves amounted to $ 432.74 billion.

    More:
    https://tass.ru/ekonomika/6001220
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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #10

    Post  GunshipDemocracy on Wed Jan 16, 2019 2:20 am

    Hole wrote:Worked great for the upper 0,001%.

    meh , it was far more democratic, like 1 perhaps even 2%   unshaven unshaven unshaven



    Putin’s special envoy proposed start-up development measures

    MOSCOW, January 15 - RIA News . Developing start-ups in the Russian Federation is possible through the “digital footprint” and “pumping” of universities, as well as managing demand from corporations, so you can stop the process of moving these projects abroad, said the special presidential envoy for digital and technological development, director of direction " Young professionals "Agency for Strategic Initiatives (ASI) Dmitry Peskov.
    According to him, the state does not know how many startups are in the country, who works for them, who their investors are, where they place their production and what critical technologists are used by this particular startup. As a result, startups grow to a certain level and go abroad.


    "It is impossible to fight this prohibitively in any way, but it is necessary to create conditions under which startups could grow in Russia and sell their goods on global markets. We would like to propose a number of solutions that would solve this problem. The first task is to know what a startup is and what kind of people it is, that is, learn how to assemble a “digital footprint.” And the first task facing the platform is to collect this digital footprint, ”he said, speaking at a meeting of the ASI supervisory board.
    The second solution is to develop universities in the Russian Federation, since the number of start-ups in the country is very small. “We have a very low offer. Startups are just very few, they are incredibly small. You know how to joke on the market - German Oskarovich has already bought everyone alive (Gref, head of Sberbank - Ed.). When people talk about frames for the digital economy, the same "This means that we can no longer focus only on 10-15 leading universities. We need to go deep, we need to reach strong, motivated students in each region," he said.


    The special representative of the president, together with the Ministry of Higher Education and Science, proposed to “pump out” a team of all the leading regional universities in SkolTech. “That is, conditionally, 100 universities, from 21st to 121st place, of supporting universities, regional, technical, including including mechanisms for their financial incentives to the results of these educational programs and retraining,” he said. The "intensive" program will involve work with approximately 1.5 thousand managers for two weeks, 18-20 hours a day.

    The third solution is demand management. It is planned to create interest in start-ups from large corporations. According to ASI, the activity of corporations is "infinitely low," for example, 18 out of 124 large organizations have venture funds. "Digital technologies - they after all reduce the total market volume. That is, digital monopolies are being formed, let's speak frankly. And the place for small ones is narrowing. In this sense, we need to generate demand, but the only way to generate demand is to work with our large technological state corporations and not only state corporations ", - he concluded.

    https://ria.ru/20190115/1549392088.html











    "The first results (of the experiment) exceed all the most daring expectations, " said Makarov.

    A

    ccording to a REGNUM correspondent on January 14, this was announced during the meeting of the State Duma budget committee by its head Andrei Makarov (United Russia).

    "The first results (of the experiment) exceed all the most daring expectations, " said Makarov. According to him, the number of citizens who voluntarily registered as self-employed increased significantly in 2019.

    “On the first working day of the new 2019, people registered almost twice as many as in the previous two years,” noted Makarov.

    However, he stressed that only the Federal Tax Service can announce the official figures and the results of the experiment.


    Подробности: https://regnum.ru/news/2551835.html







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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #10

    Post  GunshipDemocracy on Wed Jan 16, 2019 2:35 am

    Russia and Zimbabwe sign platinum mining agreement


    https://ria.ru/20190115/1549402586.html


    OK, after gold in CAR  and Venezuela we got Platinum in Zimbabwe. No investments in US securities instead? dunno dunno dunno

    NO attack attack attack
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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #10

    Post  par far on Wed Jan 16, 2019 4:43 am

    GunshipDemocracy wrote:
    par far wrote:No please don't do that, get Russia's birth rate up.

    unless Russia jump starts fertility rate to Niger/Mali level 6-7 children per woman then  I'm  afraid immigration is inevitable


    Hole wrote:Well, after the next crash there is a slight (read: big!) possibility that Trumpistan will fall out of the top 10 GDP countries rather quick.

    unfortunately, not in our lifetime



    So where are those experts claiming that barrel will drop to $20-30?! and  yes for 100rubles?


    The price of Brent crude oil rose above $ 62 per barrel


    https://ria.ru/20190111/1549219675.html

    One the things I don't get is why can't western countries get their own population growth higher?

    Russia really needs to push family into the younger generation, there is nothing stopping, Russia from getting Russian women to have 3-4 kids. The Russian church, the Russian government needs to play a role here.
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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #10

    Post  PapaDragon on Wed Jan 16, 2019 4:56 am


    Every time church tries to get birthrate up it ends up nosediving

    No wonder since their preferred solution to low birthrate is to have less sex, not more

    Money, long paid maternity leave and guaranteed job after it is what gets birthrate up, not church or advertising or whatever male virgins think does

    And there is always immigration, I don't know why everyone gets their panties in a bunch over it, just filter out useless plankton prior
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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #10

    Post  higurashihougi on Wed Jan 16, 2019 6:07 am

    In Soviet times there were some sort of financial fee for families who do not have enough kids... wonder is it still applicable at today's circumstances ? Question
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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #10

    Post  Austin on Wed Jan 16, 2019 6:14 am

    “Everything is aging”: Medvedev presented the future of Russia

    https://www.gazeta.ru/business/2019/01/14/12127861.shtml



    US sanctions: Russia sees the most dangerous scenario

    https://www.gazeta.ru/business/2019/01/15/12129025.shtml?updated
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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #10

    Post  GunshipDemocracy on Thu Jan 17, 2019 2:22 am

    higurashihougi wrote:In Soviet times there were some sort of financial fee for families who do not have enough kids... wonder is it still applicable at today's circumstances ? Question

    yup, it is still on and it works. But more is needed: work regulation so moms/dads cn work having kids, state's support of ideology for many kids per families. And so on Cool Cool Cool


    par far wrote:One the things I don't get is why can't western countries get their own population growth higher?

    ideology: fuck, dont create family, no family bonds, religion, traditions. You re self moving cargo. Expendables.


    Russia really needs to push family into the younger generation, there is nothing stopping, Russia from getting Russian women to have 3-4 kids. The Russian church, the Russian government needs to play a role here.

    it does but it is not working in one yer, not sure if 4 kids per family is doable in overage, but slightly above replacement level would be already something. If you want faster population in crease you need to have smart immigration+ assimilation policy in place.


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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #10

    Post  GunshipDemocracy on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:21 am

    Austin wrote:US sanctions: Russia sees the most dangerous scenario

    https://www.gazeta.ru/business/2019/01/15/12129025.shtml?updated


    Balanced opinion of ACRA ceo Ekaterina Trofimova makes it worth reading . Header of course is liberal cr@p.




    French media predicted Russia a new trade balance record


    https://ria.ru/20190117/1549466033.html
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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #10

    Post  Austin on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:38 pm

    U.S. Steps Up Rhetoric Over Nord Stream 2 Pipeline

    https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/US-Steps-Up-Rhetoric-Over-Nord-Stream-2-Pipeline.html
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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #10

    Post  Austin on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:44 pm

    The bullying by US on CASTA first with Turkey and INdia on S-400 and now with Germany on NS-2 is turning out in favour of RUssia.

    It ends up showing US acting as big bully trying to arm twist a nation for economic or FP goals and Nations getting offended by such bullying tactics by US.

    US should understand that each nation will have its own Sovereign goals and they wont like getting arm twisted if any thing it will make the nations more determined.
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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #10

    Post  miketheterrible on Thu Jan 17, 2019 3:56 pm

    already backfired with India stepping up trade with Iran and Russia using domestic currencies. China, Russia and Iran same thing.

    Then there is that the German government is getting really pissed off with the US and said to the US ambassador that he is not the governor of Germany and he cannot make such demands and is acting like a "mini trump". So Germany is starting to bite back.

    I wonder what will happen when Germany will be able to build its own army again and all former demands from the Americans on Germany after WWII ends? I rather like to think Germany may become more reluctant in relations with US.
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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #10

    Post  Hole on Fri Jan 18, 2019 9:34 pm

    Slightly off-Topic (not about Russia), but interesting stuff.

    https://russia-insider.com/en/business/eu-reeling-yellow-vest-protests-what-happens-if-there-debt-crisis/ri25932
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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #10

    Post  George1 on Fri Jan 18, 2019 11:21 pm

    Bank of Russia purchased record-breaking gold volume in 2018


    The value of gold in reserves of the Central Bank reached $86.9 bln as of the year-end

    MOSCOW, January 18. /TASS/. The Bank of Russia increased monetary gold reserves by record-breaking 8.8 mln Troy oz. or by 273.7 tonnes, to 67.9 mln oz. or 2,100 tonnes, the regulator said on Friday. The value of gold in reserves of the Central Bank reached $86.9 bln as of the year-end.

    The regulator purchased 7.2 mln oz. of gold in 2017, and 6.4 mln oz. in 2016.

    Gold accounted for more than 18.5% of the total amount of international reserves valued as $468.5 bln as of the end of 2018, according to data of the Central Bank.


    More:
    http://tass.com/economy/1040763
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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #10

    Post  par far on Sun Jan 20, 2019 6:41 pm

    "CRISIS WITHIN RUSSIAN ELITES RIPPLES OUTWARD."

    Is this something we should be worried about?

    https://southfront.org/crisis-within-russian-elites-ripples-outward/
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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #10

    Post  Austin on Sun Jan 20, 2019 6:56 pm

    Moody's warned of risk to Russia because of possible tough US sanctions

    https://rns.online/economy/Moodys-predupredilo-o-riske-dlya-Rossii-iz-za-vozmozhnih-zhestkih-sanktsii-SSHa-2019-01-18/

    In October, Moody's leading analyst on the Russian sovereign rating, Kristin Lindow, said that tightening US sanctions against Russia would not lead to a lowering of the country's sovereign rating, but could lead to a revised outlook from positive to stable.


    The second package of US sanctions due to Russia's alleged use of chemical weapons in British Salisbury may be introduced if Moscow does not provide "reliable guarantees" that it will not use chemical weapons in the future and will not agree to conduct inspections "on the spot" »UN inspectors. This package may include such measures as reducing diplomatic relations and virtually all trade between countries, as well as restrictions on a number of Russian banks
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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #10

    Post  miketheterrible on Sun Jan 20, 2019 8:15 pm

    par far wrote:"CRISIS WITHIN RUSSIAN ELITES RIPPLES OUTWARD."

    Is this something we should be worried about?

    https://southfront.org/crisis-within-russian-elites-ripples-outward/

    Chubias has been a Thorne in Russia's rear for decades. He is a real asshole and a contributor to Soviet Union demise.

    What's funny, his organization Rusnano has been rather pathetic in terms of performance. It got government handouts yet used most of that money to invest in foreign development when it was supposed to be used at home. Rusnano and Chubias has under performed greatly. He always says a lot of useless stuff or partial right stuff. Overall though, rather sad individual. There is no real Oligarches split. Using evidence of Chubias is pointless cause that guy is only really partnered with Kudrin in being a real time retard and asshole. Both equally useless. While rest of the oligarches and or people with power are rather more optimistic and or changing their business practices.

    Chubias is just unhappy his Western money is drying up. I rather think it's better to let Rusnano die. And then Chubias will flee the country with whatever little money he has left and that would be a good thing.

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