Another ceasefire. Won't hold but more delays as usual.
Putin better wrap those Su-35 sales by MAKS19 end....
It have been that way always...
1)cease fire announced by Syrian army and Russia..
2)Rebels break it and try to bomb SAA and Russia positions...
3)SAA and Russian airforce retaliate at the terrorist
4)and Repeat #1 again..
With this clever policy , SAA have been able to recover all territory losses in Syria
since Russia came.. albeit at a very slow pace... with the advantage of not provoking
a major conflict ,beyond Syrian borders..
.. So is very likely the Terrorist will continue fighting,
regroup and start a massive advance to retake some cities lost.. SAA depending on the
risk could hold or do a tactical retreat.... while Russian airforce massacre their advance..
they flee and SAA Chase them and capture a bit more territory in response. The SAA does
3 step forward and 2 step back and repeat.. as long they can keep their casualties much lower than the terrorist ,and low losses in armor and tanks.. then is a win for SAA.
Like i said before For Russia , capturing IDLIB only benefit is to stop the drones attacks on its base..but they could care less about IDLIB , only Syria government cares. but is NOT in Russian interest that terrorist move to another country ,or move to Russia undercover and start targeting civilians in Russia as revenge.. For Russia the most ideal scenario ,will be
to kill literary millions of radicals extremist in IDLIB when they go out in the open desert..
as IDLIB is ,and not have to fight them inside cities.. hiding behind civilians.
In fact for SYria government it will not be a big deal ,if Turkey invade all kurds zones they took away from Syria.. that will allow to disarm the kurds , because they will flee under the protection of SAA.. and after that Syria and Russia can recover all North of Syria again without firing a bullet through diplomatic means ,when Erdogan is no longer in power and a more constructive Leader to Syria gets in power.