The right alternative for the shia people of Iraq would be to become a 80% shia country, with lots of oil by its own, keeping almost all its shia population, with a smaller Arab sunni minority and a minimal shia Kurd population. A new Iraq friend of an independent Kurdistan
The new Iraq won't let Kurdistan go. Iraq is composed of disparate groups that won't naturally unite, so if it is to remain unified inevitably one group will have to dominate the others. That worked under Saddam and it may work even better under the shia as they're the majority and backed by Iran. In the long run the present arrangement may be the most stable both internally and regionally.
In the Iraqi Kurdistan, for the shia Arab people, there is nothing to care of, except some oil money, of which the shia Arabs of Iraq have more than enough in the own territory. They share not territory, they share not population, is the sunni Arab minority who shares some territory and population with the Kurds. Giving freedom to the Kurdistan, Iraq would be free of the Kurd sunni population and of a part of the Arab sunni population, helping to keep the hostility between both communities and helping to keep a friendship with the Iraqi sunni Kurds that was key to defeat the sunni Arabs (ISIS) in Iraq.
Instead, between the countries with shia Arab gouvernments, almost a half of the Lebanese population is shia Arab, an important minority of the Syrian population is shia Arab, and there is the situation of Yemen where again almost a half of the population is shia Arab. Between the rest, a majority of the Bahraini population is shia Arab and about a 40% of the Kuwaiti population is also shia Arab.
The current Iraqi gouvernment seems to care more about oil money in the Kurdish territory, than about the rest of shia Arab populations suffering wars today. A shame for the new Iraq. They are showing to be not different of the Turks, of ISIS or of Israel (with Palestine and Syria).
The choice of Iraq of oil money from a territory without shia Arabs, leads to a sunni unification in Iraq, against Iraq and against Iran, leads to a war with more than a 40% of the population of the country in the current configuration. Making Iraq stagnating in war and keepoing the war in the borders of Iran. Very poor strategic choice.
The choice of Iraq of oil money from a territory without shia Arabs makes the country unable to help to Syria, unable to help to Yemen, and unable to help the dominated shia populations in countries like Bahrain, Kuwait or Saudi Arabia. Instead of thinking about new pipelines to the coastal shia Arab areas of Syria and Lebanon they are fighting to keep the pipelines to Turkey, giving them a power of the Iraqi and Kurd oil and a wealth that they do not deserve. A shame for the mediocre Iraqi rulers.
Last edited by eehnie on Fri Oct 27, 2017 10:57 am; edited 1 time in total