The longer it goes on the more terrorists will die trying to save their buddies inside as desperate messages come over the airways. Good time of year for a seige, lots of water needed!
Russia is playing an attrition war on NATO in syria. The more the war last , the worse for
their image. Russia understand that the war will not end even if Syria takes 100% of its
territory back , because NATO can continue sending more fresh waves of dozens of thousands jihadist for a whole decade. and when no more terrorist left , SYria will still need to deal with
Turkey army , Jornanian Army and Israel Army and many NATO private mercenaries and with a very weakened and reduced force.
I think Russia is counting on time to work in their favor , and until now it have been more or less true but not at the expense on civilian casualties. which will happen any way if NATO invades. By having aleppo under siege and doing humanitarian corridors , they can still fight
in self defense of civilians trying to flee and slowly bleed the terrorist and slowly force them to surrender with full amnesty. Until in the end there is no more civilians left.
What is also very clear is that Russia will make sure ,that none of the zones Terrorist control
can be prosperous or have a normal life .Civilians will need electricity ,water and food and something to do.. and this will be a major pressure to the terrorist , living in a city doomed
to fail. This also will encourage other terrorist worldwide to not go there ,and experience
and very long war , with them starving. at the same time NATO and their middle east coalition will go broke , with the war ,by their training of jihadist ,supplying them with food and weapons and munitions. Here the major question in Syria is Turkey.. this is the nation that is more dangerous for Syria and the one Russia needs to keep as much distanced from Syria as possible
So that if even Turkey continues to fight Syria , that it will be not directly but by proxy.
BEcause in a direct war of Turkey with Syria , will force Russia to fight Turkey back ,and this will
drag things to another level that Russia will like to prefer to avoid for economic and political reasons , if Russia will go to war , it cannot be with Turkey or Poland or baltics or any nation in Europe. If RUssia have to go to a limited war , im sure they will prefer it to be United States.
Because that way , that is to take the fight to the source . and provoke a major civil war in America after the a few US planes shut down by Russia or a warship sink in self defense.
If Russia ends winning in Syria , with this slow war , it will teach NATO a lesson ,that it cannot
win a proxy war with Russia ,because Russia will freeze the conflict and will stay firm in their defense of their interest. Russia is playing a defensive war. that can allow Russia to have the
moral high ground and political too. In the Korean War for example , it took Americans 2 years
of more fighting ,to give a last try. This is because Americans also have an internal dateline of until when they can continue fighting.So the Russia-US cease of fire began in 2016 , so around 2018 if the conflict if freeze and Russia handles well the defense without too much economic burden.. then they will give up. people need to remember ,that the ultimate goal of the neocons with Syrian war ,is Russia itself and not Syria. Is Economic warfare on Russia
to collapse Russia economy ,to destroy Russia army and airforce image and break the unity of Russian citizens with Russian government and provoke civil unrest. and after Russia economy crash ,more easier provoke
a soviet union style collapse again in Russia. IRAN in the other hand , conflict with Russia is that they want to create a corridor to Israel to more easily fight them. and Russia will do everything possible to not allow IRAN to use Syria ,for its personal war with Israel. To not drag
Russia into a fight with them either.
So RUssia and even more importantly Syria , needs to fight a mostly defensive long war
and avoid as much as possible casualties. The real winning of the Syrian war ,is not about capturing territory in general terms speaking , but more about to exhaust economically ,physically and morally the enemy in a long attrition war.
So that if NATO or terrorist occupy any territory in Syria ,to make sure it will be useless for them ,by encircling it and blocking . The vietnam war is a perfect example of an atrition war.. that in the worse case ,
vietcong lost most of the battles but in the end won the war ,because Americans could not
continue funding the war.
any supplies vital for they to continue fighting.