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    Russian Economy General News: #7

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    Austin
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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #7

    Post  Austin on Mon Oct 17, 2016 1:46 pm

    In Modi Jacket


    GunshipDemocracy
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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #7

    Post  GunshipDemocracy on Mon Oct 17, 2016 3:05 pm


    Russia expects non-oil and gas budget revenues to rise by over $14 bln in 2016


    More:
    http://tass.com/economy/906867


    VTB has reduced rates across the line of consumer loans by 2-7 percentage points

    More
    http://tass.ru/ekonomika/3709696





    kvs wrote:
    OminousSpudd wrote:
    kvs wrote:
    Austin wrote:Russia’s foreign debt stands over $516 bln — Central Bank

    More:
    http://tass.com/economy/906351?_ga=1.167211006.1525226705.1462511035

    So what?

    Also, this figure includes private debt and not just government debt.  So if the private
    debtors can't pay the costs they will default.  The Russian government is not obliged to
    cover for them.   Thus this figure is totally worthless when it comes to evaluating the sovereign
    financial exposure of Russia.  

    You keep posting this trash over and over.  What is the point besides trolling?
    It's not trash, it's just stats. Don't shoot the messenger.

    It was a zero content post.   This is a discussion board and not some contextless number accumulator.


    This is 50 BLN USD less than year ago right?

    Austin
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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #7

    Post  Austin on Mon Oct 17, 2016 5:11 pm

    Russia-India oil deal challenges Saudi supremacy in Asia

    https://www.rt.com/business/363024-deal-russia-india-mideast-market/

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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #7

    Post  kvs on Mon Oct 17, 2016 5:56 pm

    GunshipDemocracy wrote:
    Russia expects non-oil and gas budget revenues to rise by over $14 bln in 2016


    More:
    http://tass.com/economy/906867


    VTB has reduced rates across the line of consumer loans by 2-7 percentage points

    More
    http://tass.ru/ekonomika/3709696

    Very good news.


    This is 50 BLN USD less than year ago right?

    That is about right. There was a surge in private debt retirement after the late 2014 forex slide but it seems to have reached a new equilibrium
    which indicates that the businesses holding it do not fear forex rate exposure.

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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #7

    Post  GunshipDemocracy on Mon Oct 17, 2016 7:57 pm

    kvs wrote: Very good news.


    more good news:


    For perspective research in Russia budget will be additionally augmented by 3,5 Bln Rubles ( ~50 mln extra)


    NOVO-OGAREVO, 17 Dec – RIA Novosti. Additional funding in the amount of 3.5 billion rubles will be allocated in 2017 for the work of scientists in the most promising directions, said Monday, Russian President Vladimir Putin.


    "I met with the heads of laboratories recipients of the so-called mega-grants... Scientists have made a proposal for further work on the most promising areas that require additional funding. We have already agreed that this additional funding for 2017 in the amount of 3.5 billion rubles will be provided," — said the head of state, who on Monday met with Minister of education Olga Vasilyeva, the head of the Ministry of Finance Anton Siluanov and his assistant Andrei Fursenko.

    Putin invited the audience to discuss the source of funding.

    In turn, Fursenko spoke about the meeting with representatives of the scientific community. According to him, the result was highlighted several priority areas: genetic research in medicine and agriculture, information technologies in the area of quantum computing and processing large amounts of data, and the creation of so-called technologies that resemble natural ones.

    Under that resemble natural ones technologies, said Fursenko, refers to, for example, such as the creation of a minimum of energy consuming devices, new waste production, the formation of new approaches to storage and processing and the transfer of energy. For these developments it was suggested a few tools, added the presidential aide.

    "The first is the support of powerful centres, modern laboratories to attract scientists not only from Russia but also from abroad, to create permanent positions, and this support of young scientists," — said Fursenko.

    For these projects it is proposed to use the mechanisms of the Russian science Foundation, said the assistant of the head of state. "In the case of allocation of additional funds we are ready to offer new contests and start working to next year in full work started," he said.

    The President of the Russian Federation agreed with the proposal. "We'll do that. I assume that this is a problem, is not only for 2017, but in subsequent years so that this work had a clear planning horizon," — said Putin.

    Before the journalists left the hall, where the meeting took place, the head of state also asked the Finance Minister to report on the progress in discussion with the Academy of Sciences on financing of current activity and funds for research.


    kvs wrote:
    This is 50 BLN USD less than year ago right?

    That is about right.  There was a surge in private debt retirement after the late 2014 forex slide but it seems to have reached a new equilibrium which indicates that the businesses holding it do not fear forex rate exposure.
    [/quote]

    I guess thet VVP is not really  in hurry with supporting Stolypin Club´s Plan because he knows a bit more - possible US contr steps. Own elite resistance. Anyway Nabiulina (no not my darling Smile did good stuff with sealing banking system from capital outflow.[/quote]

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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #7

    Post  Austin on Sun Oct 23, 2016 5:18 pm

    Foreign direct investment in Russia in I half-year amounted to US $ 6.7 billion

    http://sdelanounas.ru/blogs/85165/


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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #7

    Post  Austin on Mon Oct 24, 2016 12:05 pm

    Russia has prepared an asymmetrical response to US sanctions

    https://ria.ru/economy/20161024/1479859154.html

    "US sanctions policy toward Russia has been going on for a long time we have used this period to undertake some research and prepare a series of activities that can be applied is in single-ended mode.", - He said, speaking in the Federation Council.

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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #7

    Post  Austin on Wed Oct 26, 2016 4:31 am

    Russia Advances to 40th Place in World Bank's Doing Business Ranking 2017

    Read more: https://en.ria.ru/business/201610261046730123-russia-world-bank-rating/

    Russia significantly improved its domestic conditions for small and medium-sized businesses which facilitated its advance in the World Bank's Doing Business Ranking 2017 to the 40th place out of 190 countries, the World Bank said on Tuesday.


    In past years, Russia has been active in reforming across multiple areas of business regulation… In some aspects of Doing Business [the World Bank Group measuring business regulations], the business regulatory environment of Russia is now closer to best practice," Andras Horvai, World Bank Russia Country Director, said in a statement commenting on Russia's advance in the ranking.

    Read more: https://en.ria.ru/business/201610261046730123-russia-world-bank-rating/

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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #7

    Post  GunshipDemocracy on Wed Oct 26, 2016 12:14 pm




    Media: the European Commission has allowed "Gazprom" to increase the pumping of gas through the OPAL

    Economics and business 25 Oct, 23:46 UTC+3
    According to the WSJ, 50% of the capacity reserved for companies from 10 to 20% needs to be provided to other suppliers, another 30-40% can get "Gazprom" in the implementation at auction


    Подробнее на ТАСС:
    http://tass.ru/ekonomika/3733925

    So Ukrops started steal gas again and suddenly Gazprom can sell mor egas?






    Austin wrote:Russia has prepared an asymmetrical response to US sanctions

    https://ria.ru/economy/20161024/1479859154.html

    "US sanctions policy toward Russia has been going on for a long time we have used this period to undertake some research and prepare a series of activities that can be applied is in single-ended mode.", - He said, speaking in the Federation Council.

    Best response would be no US software and hardware in Russian industry.



    Ulyukaev predicted growth in real wages of Russians


    Next year trade goes well - the MAYOR expect her recovery. The situation with real wages improve. "Wages will rise quite quickly - this also applies to the public sector and the private sector," the Minister promised. Wage growth will exceed 3% per year, he said.

    In General, inflation cannot win, concluded the official. The Ministry expects this figure to the end of the year at 5.7-5.8 percent. "As a result of recovery of demand growth, and households and businesses will be able to maintain the trend decline in inflation, and it in all the years in the "basic plus" will be less than 5%", he continued.

    The forecast, which the MAYOR called "basic plus", provides for the growth of the economy. Russia's GDP in 2017 will rise by 1.1%. In 2018 is 1.8% and in 2019 - by 2.4%. It's better than the Ministry predicted earlier.


    https://rg.ru/2016/10/26/uliukaev-sprognoziroval-rost-realnyh-zarplat-rossiian.html


    Did any time his predictions came true? or he is like a  gypsy fortune teller c-pay an di will tell you your future :d

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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #7

    Post  GunshipDemocracy on Wed Oct 26, 2016 12:40 pm

    Better late then never. BTW good think is to make joint venture with India for like Su-SJ100 or Il-114 ot make mutually benficialdeal and bigger customer base.

    In Russia, want to limit the purchase of foreign aircraft

    https://rg.ru/2016/10/25/v-rossii-mogut-ogranichit-pokupku-inostrannyh-samoletov.html


    Russian state-owned companies to buy foreign aircraft only in consultation with the Government Commission on import substitution. This bill has prepared Ministry of economic development. The changes would encourage carriers to purchase domestic ships.
    See also

    Changes to the Federal law N 223-FZ, which regulates public procurement. If the share of state participation in the state-owned company exceeds 50 percent, buy foreign aircraft worth over one billion roubles it is possible only by agreement with the Government Commission on import substitution.

    "If the equipment with similar characteristics produced in Russia, the state will block the purchase of foreign aircraft. But if anywhere in the Russian market, the company will receive a single permit under each contract without problems", - says Roman Gusarov, chief editor of the portal Avia.ru.

    Now the bill is in the process of regulatory impact assessment. The document applies not only to aviation and marine equipment.

    "Airline with state participation in the first recall of "Aeroflot", but there are regional airlines", - said Roman Gusarov. In addition, the effect of the bill will apply not only to carriers. Private aircraft often have large state-owned corporations, including mining companies. They use airplanes and helicopters for the delivery of shift workers and other staff to remote locations of the mining, processing and production.

    Planes in Russia buy even banks with state participation, and then transfer them to airlines rent
    The expert notes that it is not always the buyer of the aircraft serves the airline. "Our state-owned banks acquired in the time planes, passing them to subsequent airlines in leasing," he says. Roman Gusarov says that the airlines use, but not always aware of the planes.

    In this case, through the harmonization will have to go to both parties - the lessor and lessee. Since the restriction applies not only to buy aircraft but also of services, including rental and leasing of aircraft.


    The amendments do not have such a decisive role, what they are given, says Roman Gusarov. The Board of Directors of state companies there are always representatives of the state. And without regard to state interests, decisions in such companies are not accepted. But the document prescribes common rules for how companies must do when buying foreign technology.

    By the way, incentives are and the rules on granting subsidies for air transport, which are provided to the operating Russian aircraft companies.

    Price bracket a billion rubles are not high for the aviation market. "Under this rule includes all mainline planes except for that small, used on regional transportation," says Gusarov.

    At the same time, today the Russian aviation industry can not fully meet the interests of the airlines. From new models launched in the series, a serious competition to foreign aircraft could be Sukhoi Superjet 100.

    37 fields - so many foreign flights until March 25, 2017 Federal air transport Agency has extended the airline "Aeroflot" and "Russia" the validity of the certificates. The decree posted on the website of the Federal air transport Agency
    "The second main plane MS-21. It can be in Russia is very popular, but it only developed", - says Roman Gusarov. For mass production you can count only 4-5 years. It is also planned to revive the production of Il-96-300, but again it is only a plan.

    But the Institute of procurement will allow state-owned companies not be left without an aircraft. "Applying for the purchase of foreign aircraft, the airline can point to the absence of the Russian analogues and count on the positive decision", - says Roman Gusarov.

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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #7

    Post  Project Canada on Wed Oct 26, 2016 12:40 pm

    Oil prices are back to $50 levels, this should give Russian oil companies a bit of relief. unfortunately, this will benefit the Saudis as well, i hope SA will collapse before oil goes back to really profitable prices because this will enable the Saudis again to fund their worldwide Jihadist war Rolling Eyes

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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #7

    Post  GunshipDemocracy on Wed Oct 26, 2016 12:41 pm

    Project Canada wrote:Oil prices are back to $50 levels, this should give Russian oil companies a bit of relief. unfortunately, this will benefit the Saudis as well, i hope SA will collapse before oil goes back to really profitable prices because this will enable the Saudis again to fund their worldwide Jihadist war Rolling Eyes

    Well without $50 barrel Houtis would be on outskirts on Riyadh soon Smile

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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #7

    Post  Project Canada on Wed Oct 26, 2016 1:03 pm

    GunshipDemocracy wrote:
    Project Canada wrote:Oil prices are back to $50 levels, this should give Russian oil companies a bit of relief. unfortunately, this will benefit the Saudis as well, i hope SA will collapse before oil goes back to really profitable prices because this will enable the Saudis again to fund their worldwide Jihadist war Rolling Eyes

    Well without $50 barrel Houtis would  be on outskirts on Riyadh soon Smile

    I would celebrate if that ever happens, SA has the advantage in this war however, since they can bomb civilians and yemeni infrastructures of vital economic importance freely without the threat of being accused of committing war crimes and be booted out of the UN human rights council..


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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #7

    Post  Austin on Wed Oct 26, 2016 2:11 pm

    Saudi cannot sustain low oil price for long time like Russia can , Saudi is just a single pony horse.

    Russian budget is already based on Brent price of $40 and Central Bank has stress tested for oil price as low as $25.

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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #7

    Post  par far on Wed Oct 26, 2016 5:28 pm

    Project Canada wrote:Oil prices are back to $50 levels, this should give Russian oil companies a bit of relief. unfortunately, this will benefit the Saudis as well, i hope SA will collapse before oil goes back to really profitable prices because this will enable the Saudis again to fund their worldwide Jihadist war Rolling Eyes



    What I don't get is, India(whose MIC, is a mere fraction of Russia), can have decent Aircraft Carriers but Russia can't? Are Russian shipbuilders that bad, that they can not build Aircraft Carriers? It just sucks that Russia missed out on the Mistrals, if the shit, in Ukraine was delayed, by 6-8 months, than Russia would probably had the Mistrals(at least one of them). That would have been a lovely dream, come true, imagine, taking the Mistral, to Syria.

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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #7

    Post  kvs on Thu Oct 27, 2016 1:19 am

    par far wrote:
    Project Canada wrote:Oil prices are back to $50 levels, this should give Russian oil companies a bit of relief. unfortunately, this will benefit the Saudis as well, i hope SA will collapse before oil goes back to really profitable prices because this will enable the Saudis again to fund their worldwide Jihadist war Rolling Eyes



    What I don't get is, India(whose MIC, is a mere fraction of Russia), can have decent Aircraft Carriers but Russia can't? Are Russian shipbuilders that bad, that they can not build Aircraft Carriers? It just sucks that Russia missed out on the Mistrals, if the shit, in Ukraine was delayed, by 6-8 months, than Russia would probably had the Mistrals(at least one of them). That would have been a lovely dream, come true, imagine, taking the Mistral, to Syria.

    Russia is not interested in this type of ship. They are only good for colonial suppression wars and not WWIII.

    The Mistrals were Serdyukov's baby. He is gone and so are his pet projects.

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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #7

    Post  VladimirSahin on Thu Oct 27, 2016 2:13 am

    Well the US operates 10 aircraft carrier battle groups, which provide offensive power projection. I don't think they are to be laughed at but still if they use aircraft carriers against a power like Russia even the risk of losing one aircraft carrier with 5,000 plus crew 90 plus aircraft on board is totally not worth it. However against countries other than China and Russia they're quite capable. Russia should operate at most 2 aircraft carriers having one isn't enough for future goals.

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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #7

    Post  GarryB on Thu Oct 27, 2016 10:03 am

    You can't confuse Mistrals with actual carriers.

    Mistral is a support ship that can be used for a range of purposes... from a land attack by naval forces where her helos and vehicles would be very useful and her command capability and hospital capabilities would be very valuable too, through to disaster relief where again her helos and vehicle transport capacity can deliver aid inland fast and efficiently and of course her command capability allows coordination of efforts and hospital capability is again useful.

    A real carrier is to bring air power with a surface action group... a show of force, and a way to take the Russian military to where it is needed.

    In WWIII it would allow Russian air power to be projected further out around a major Russian port to protect surface vessels. And would be invaluable in defending against an opponent with carriers and surface vessels.

    It is not a question of can or can't afford.

    Right now if you waved your magic wand and could make anything appear they don't need carriers... they need to upgrade port facilities and support vessels to create surface groups that need air cover... then you need air cover...

    If you have three fixed wing carriers now there would not be enough support ships to operate with them... there would be little use for all three at any one time... nice to have but damn expensive unless you had something for them to do...

    In ten years time the russian navy will have expanded and will be a much newer fleet and will likely have re-established contact with former allies and be sending surface groups around the place like the Pacific or Africa.

    It would be valuable for Russia to be able to send a carrier group to Fiji on a good will visit... the helicopter carrier could visit the islands and offer medical care, they could do the PR thing and build a few schools... sign a few contracts to drill for oil... that sort of thing. Except unlike the west not screw the locals so they don't feel like they have just been raped by white guys again.

    And do that all over africa too.


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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #7

    Post  Austin on Mon Oct 31, 2016 4:59 pm

    Any idea what does this mean really for Western Economy and how this will impact Russia ?

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/10/30/world-to-face-stress-test-as-dollar-libor-spikes-and-bond-rout-d/

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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #7

    Post  Hannibal Barca on Mon Oct 31, 2016 9:57 pm

    Nothing serious, just the shockwaves of an impending Trump election. It will come back to normal pretty soon.
    The next crisis will be also a banking one IMO.

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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #7

    Post  Austin on Tue Nov 01, 2016 5:58 am

    Hannibal Barca wrote:Nothing serious, just the shockwaves of an impending Trump election. It will come back to normal pretty soon.
    The next crisis will be also a banking one IMO.

    Trump winning chances are very low as the American System or Deep State would want Hillary to Win to pursue its agenda more freely.

    How do you forsee the next banking crisis unfolding ?

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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #7

    Post  Austin on Tue Nov 01, 2016 6:01 am

    Now that Renminbi has been granted SDR status and Russia-China being strong trading partners.

    Can Russia let China trade its Energy Products ( Oil/Gas ) in Renminbi in return for greater economic benefit to Russia from China , Russia might just add Renminbi to its basket for Oil/Gas trade besides USD & Euro , is that a good proposition ?

    May be the central bank can also dump UK Pound and USD percentage in Forex and give more preference to Renminbi , like 15-20 % of its Forex basked in Renminbi and reduce USD % from 45 % to  30 %

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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #7

    Post  Austin on Tue Nov 01, 2016 8:11 am

    Brussels OKs increased OPAL flows – with caveats

    http://interfaxenergy.com/gasdaily/article/22598/brussels-oks-increased-opal-flows-with-caveats

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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #7

    Post  Hannibal Barca on Tue Nov 01, 2016 2:57 pm

    Austin wrote:
    Hannibal Barca wrote:Nothing serious, just the shockwaves of an impending Trump election. It will come back to normal pretty soon.
    The next crisis will be also a banking one IMO.

    Trump winning chances are very low as the American System or Deep State would want Hillary to Win to pursue its agenda more freely.

    How do you forsee the next banking crisis unfolding ?


    Firstly, I will be really surprised if Trump doesn't win.

    Secondly, I don't think anyone knows when or how the next economic crisis will unfold and I don't think anyone can predict how major is gonna be either.
    Problem is that we should had a huge crisis ongoing long ago, but most western centers realize that this will be an existential treat for them so they try to hang on
    delaying everything against economic data and common sense.
    I do think that the next crisis is gonna have geopolitical consequences. European Union rot from inside and the dollar can hold for so long
    without real economic data backing it up.

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    Re: Russian Economy General News: #7

    Post  Hannibal Barca on Tue Nov 01, 2016 3:08 pm

    Austin wrote:Now that Renminbi has been granted SDR status and Russia-China being strong trading partners.

    Can Russia let China trade its Energy Products ( Oil/Gas ) in Renminbi in return for greater economic benefit to Russia from China , Russia might just add Renminbi to its basket for Oil/Gas trade besides USD & Euro , is that a good proposition ?

    May be the central bank can also dump UK Pound and USD percentage in Forex and give more preference to Renminbi , like 15-20 % of its Forex basked in Renminbi and reduce USD % from 45 % to  30 %

    I think this all are already planned but they do it extremely slowly, China makes every step with extreme caution and I think they are very right doing so.
    Already played it opportunistically in 2008 and got all this nasty internal private debt.

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