.................Like you say, ukrops have to have some success soon or morale will collapse, and they need to win the war and they know it will have to be won on the battle field.
auslander wrote:I agree with your assessment of UAF, they have been getting some excellent training and personal equipment for the last several months. I have watched their improvement over the last two months in particular and it is a bit worrisome, but on the other hand I understood after Ilavyansk that UAF either had to improve or die
As I said the next few days or week will, in my opinion, tell the tale of what will happen.
Thanks for info guys. Also:
Thing is, while Ukrops have been getting some good training, NAF have not been sitting on their hands all this time. We have seen footage here of Sparta battalion (just for example) that showed clear difference between their training and combat performance before and now.
Kiev has to attack, that is beyond any doubt. That is THE ONLY WAY they have of physically surviving.
They have no money, no fresh gear in needed quantities, no manpower reserves (epilepsy and tuberculosis anyone?), draft dodging is rampant, morale hit rock bottom, economy is gone (not dead or dying, dead and buried), population is running away in all directions, society is becoming North Korea v2.0, EU is loosing stomach for sanctions and this whole mess in general and Russia is resisting pressure and not backing off as White House and their Kiev clowns had hoped for.
But i they need to win something otherwise not just Junta will collapse, but whole of the Ukraine as a country. They will throw everything they got but NAF and Russia know this already (hell, even we know this) and they will not let it slide just as we seen it several times already.
Remember last year when it seemed that Kiev is winning, that Russia is isolated and that they are being destroyed financially and politically? Even then, Russia was willing to do what needed to be done (even North Wind people!!!) in order to keep Kiev from achieving their goals. And this winter they done it again. Things are different now, just compare financial position of Russia 6-8 months ago and now. They have less reason to back down than ever. Their economy is moving along, public support is strong, enemy is bleeding metaphorically and literally, EU is feeling the unexpected pressure and discontent due to self-inflicted stupidity...etc....
At some level we all expect Kiev to start making decisions based on logic and intelligence but it will not happen. They are boxed in, desperate and will do the dumbest thing possible which is attacking to make real or token victory (makes no difference to Kiev) or to solicit some financial or matériel pittance from their sponsors, most of which are already looking for a way out of this whole mess.
I have no doubts that there will be something big in next couple of weeks and it will be very bloody affair for both
UAF and NAF but just like many people have said it before, Russia will not let Kiev win as they already demonstrated.
Casualties will most likely skyrocket and it is tragic, but it will not change the outcome.
I just hope that if we see another Debaltsevo style cauldron, NAF proceeds to eradicate everything and everyone inside. If UAF attacks again they asked for and deserved everything that befalls them. No more mercy, conscripts included. That scum has ocean of civilian blood on their hands and they would have shown no mercy if roles were reversed. This much is crystal clear by now. IMHO conscripts should be primary targets this time. Angry sheep will not bite the owner but angry dogs will, and Porky deserves to be chewed up by his own Nazi scum that outlasts the conscripts.
Maybe if Nazis get even more power in the Kiev, passive, submissive excuse for population in Ukraine might actually get off their asses. If not who cares, economy will finish them all off anyway...