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    Russian Strategic Nuclear Warheads: Numbers

    GarryB
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    Post  GarryB on Tue Mar 05, 2019 2:47 am

    The thing with ABM is it works 10 % of time but makes the one who has believe it will work 90 % of time.

    That leads to fatal misccalculaton for a first strike against the advesary with the belief that if the adversary counter strikes the remaining weapons can be intercepted with 90 % probability or perhaps more.

    Not much consolation for the Russians when the US attacks thinking it has the advantage and finding it is rather more screwed than it ever thought possible.
    franco
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    Post  franco on Mon Apr 08, 2019 2:00 am


    New START data as of 1 March 2019

    The U.S. State Department released aggregate New START numbers from the 1 March 2019 data exchange. Russia declared 1461 deployed warheads, 524 deployed launchers, and 760 total launchers. In September 2018 the numbers were 1420, 517, and 775 respectively.

    The U.S. numbers in March 2019 were 1365 warheads, 656 deployed and 800 total launchers (1398, 659, and 800 in September 2018).
    George1
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    Post  George1 on Mon Apr 08, 2019 2:02 am

    franco wrote:
    New START data as of 1 March 2019

    The U.S. State Department released aggregate New START numbers from the 1 March 2019 data exchange. Russia declared 1461 deployed warheads, 524 deployed launchers, and 760 total launchers. In September 2018 the numbers were 1420, 517, and 775 respectively.

    The U.S. numbers in March 2019 were 1365 warheads, 656 deployed and 800 total launchers (1398, 659, and 800 in September 2018).

    is there any source that we can have details about numbers per type of missiles?
    GarryB
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    Post  GarryB on Mon Apr 08, 2019 7:30 am

    Hehehehe... I remember in the 1990s when American experts were thinking they didn't need nuclear arms agreements with Russia any more because by about now (2020) the Russians would not have any nuclear forces left... they could not afford them... they were going to have second hand F-16s in service while NATO had F-35s and F-22s....

    How things have changed... for the better...
    Isos
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    Post  Isos on Mon Apr 08, 2019 8:08 am

    GarryB wrote:Hehehehe... I remember in the 1990s when American experts were thinking they didn't need nuclear arms agreements with Russia any more because by about now (2020) the Russians would not have any nuclear forces left... they could not afford them... they were going to have second hand F-16s in service while NATO had F-35s and F-22s....

    How things have changed... for the better...

    When you have a population of some tens or hundreds of million, there will always be 1 guy that will take the lead. This guy was Putin for them.

    Same forbany bug country. If china or france or even US are destroyed economicaly there will be a guy to take the power and bring it back at top lvl.
    Hole
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    Post  Hole on Mon Apr 08, 2019 12:25 pm

    France is in dire straits for years now. And look at their "leaders": Sarkozy, Holland, Macron...
    Or "our partners" at the Potomac: Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Bush III (Obongo), Trump...


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    southpark

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    Post  southpark on Mon Apr 08, 2019 2:39 pm

    Hole wrote:France is in dire straits for years now. And look at their "leaders": Sarkozy, Holland, Macron...
    Or "our partners" at the Potomac: Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Bush III (Obongo), Trump...


    You conveniently left out your own country :-)
    Inertia is a bitch...takes a special kinda leader to get out it. I think Trump is better than all of the others you mentioned (issue based support not on everything) in that he tries to meet his election promises and fight his own party and the system...if you look around real world, it is not an easy thing do that. The whole west is kind of in a transition phase and historically speaking that is a scary thing.
    dino00
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    Post  dino00 on Mon Apr 08, 2019 8:13 pm

    southpark wrote: I think Trump is better than all of the others you mentioned (issue based support not on everything) in that he tries to meet his election promises and fight his own party and the system...if you look around real world, it is not an easy thing do that. The whole west is kind of in a transition phase and historically speaking that is a scary thing.

    lol1 lol1 Suspect

    Now things make sense, thanks for the laughs!! ( i truly mean it)

    Edit: Germany is not in great shape in this days, in 2019 the growth could be only 0.7% yoy


    Last edited by dino00 on Mon Apr 08, 2019 8:16 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : Germany)
    GarryB
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    Post  GarryB on Tue Apr 09, 2019 1:00 am

    When you have a population of some tens or hundreds of million, there will always be 1 guy that will take the lead. This guy was Putin for them.

    Same forbany bug country. If china or france or even US are destroyed economicaly there will be a guy to take the power and bring it back at top lvl.

    Actually idiots and fools can just as easily get to the top if the path is properly prepared... Trump wanted good relations with Russia, but the democrats have poisoned that path so he can't take it... even though it makes sense for America... not so good for Russia of course.

    China has been big for centuries, but needs to be taken in the right direction by the right leaders... you could put Stalin in that group too, but then you could argue that Russia was totally derailed when the Germans let Lenin go back to Russia and supported him... the idea was to destroy Russia as a threat by getting them out of the war.
    The-thing-next-door
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    Post  The-thing-next-door on Wed Sep 18, 2019 8:24 am

    Regarding the lethality of modern nuclear warheads with many having blast yields lower than 500 kt, I really wonder if there are enough in service to with either side for them to actually destroy each other.

    Also in the event of a nuclear war many warheads would likely not ever make it to thier target at all due to unreliable or slow to respond delivery platforms.

    We also now little about the effectiveness of multiple nuclear impacts on a large city and its population due to an unfortunate lack of examples to look back on. For all we know 50% of a city's population may get away completely unharmed after all the only two examples of nuclear weapons ever used although the y were less powerful than many tactical warheads still left many alive, hardly an apocalyptic effect.

    franco
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    Post  franco on Fri Oct 11, 2019 3:26 pm

    Latest START numbers

    The U.S. State Department released aggregate New START numbers from the 1 September 2019 data exchange. Russia declared 1426 deployed warheads, 513 deployed launchers, and 757 total launchers. In March 2019 the numbers were 1461, 524, and 760 respectively.

    The U.S. numbers in September 2019 were 1376 warheads, 668 deployed and 800 total launchers (1365, 656, and 800 in March 2019).

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